Posts Tagged ‘Collapse’

Readers (from Thoughts on Collapse

May 11, 2009

Part one: What are we looking forward to”

I look forward to the world breaking up “into small colonies of the saved” (Robert Bly).  I look forward to a simpler, less neurotic life for me and my children.  I would like to think that my children, while their chances of survival may be lower, their chances of happiness will be higher.

The central change I would like to see is abandonment of the addictive, frenzied, exploitative American way of life in favor of a tribal, cooperative, relaxed way of life that puts responsibility toward other species and the Earth, as well as other human beings, first.

The main outcome I look forward to is the resurgence of a pristine, detoxified ecology worldwide, into which we blend human culture seamlessly, losing nothing already learned, and finding a new, huge, informing mutual Love, leading to the next golden age.

Learning how to live with each other and within the larger community of our bioregions and ecosystems in a way that is intimate, honest, humble, and humanly and ecologically sustainable.  That includes restoring viable community life, economic and ecological relationships and systems – living systems.

Gerald Celente Violent Revolution

April 20, 2009

Gerald Celente predicts Total Economic Collapse

March 26, 2009

SOCIAL COLLAPSE BEST PRACTICES or How to Survive when the System shuts down

March 14, 2009

¨Orlov knows what he is talking about.  I have followed his warnings for several years. Now what he foresaw is coming true.  Buckle up, Hold on, and PREP as much as possible.  JGrace




By Dmitry Orlov

The following talk was given on February 13, 2009, at Cowell Theatre in Fort Mason Center, San Francisco, to an audience of 550 people.


On Collapse:

Here is the key insight: you might think that when collapse happens, nothing works. That’s just not the case. The old ways of doing things don’t work any more, the old assumptions are all invalidated, conventional goals and measures of success become irrelevant. But a different set of goals, techniques, and measures of success can be brought to bear immediately, and the sooner the better. But enough generalities, let’s go through some specifics. We’ll start with some generalities, and, as you will see, it will all become very, very specific rather quickly.

And on the Government

So, what is there for them to do? Forget “growth,” forget “jobs,” forget “financial stability.” What should their realistic new objectives be? Well, here they are: food, shelter, transportation, and security. Their task is to find a way to provide all of these necessities on an emergency basis, in absence of a functioning economy, with commerce at a standstill, with little or no access to imports, and to make them available to a population that is largely penniless. If successful, society will remain largely intact, and will be able to begin a slow and painful process of cultural transition, and eventually develop a new economy, a gradually de-industrializing economy, at a much lower level of resource expenditure, characterized by a quite a lot of austerity and even poverty, but in conditions that are safe, decent, and dignified. If unsuccessful, society will be gradually destroyed in a series of convulsions that will leave a defunct nation composed of many wretched little fiefdoms. Given its largely depleted resource base, a dysfunctional, collapsing infrastructure, and its history of unresolved social conflicts, the territory of the Former United States will undergo a process of steady degeneration punctuated by natural and man-made cataclysms.

On how to prepare:

If you still have a job, or if you still have some savings, what do you do with all the money? The obvious answer is, build up inventory. The money will be worthless, but a box of bronze nails will still be a box of bronze nails. Buy and stockpile useful stuff, especially stuff that can be used to create various kinds of alternative systems for growing food, providing shelter, and providing transportation.

The Day the Dollar Falls (Roel van Broekhoven, Backlight 2005)

March 13, 2009

Imagine if the Dollar Collapsed

March 12, 2009

I find it a bit difficult to imagine how the dollar might actually crash

in one day. In a snowball effect. This video helps educate how it might happen.

Economist and Author, David Morgan reenatcs a dramatic scene from the Movie “Rollover” (1981), a frightening worldwide currency crisis he says we should be prepared for in our lifetimes.

Fix-It Nation: In Tough Times, Tailors and Cobblers Thrive

March 6, 2009

Joe Lynch, owner of Glenn's Shoe Repair, replaces a band of rubber on a snowcat boot at his shop in Kalispell, Mont.

by Sean Gregory,8599,1880880,00.html

Where’s the trendiest place to shop these days? Try your closet. To wit: Kelly Thorsen, a school secretary from Lakeland, Fla., needed a nice pair of boots for the holiday season. A new pair would have cost some $200, and a splurge was not an option for the mother of two. “Last year, I might have gone out and started looking around,” says Thorsen, 46. “Now we are being a lot more careful with where our dollars are being spent. To go out and purchase a new pair of boots was not in my realm.”

So she literally dusted off a decade-old pair of ragged black leather boots sitting in her closet and visited a shoe-repair shop for the first time in her life. For a fashion-conscious woman, the thought of recycling clothing hurt her pride a bit. “I walked in with my tail between my legs,” she says. “It was something, initially, I was not proud of.” Then she saw the price: $16. And the work: the boots looked as good as new. “I walked out of there going, ‘O.K., all right,'” Thorsen says. She proudly wore her healed heels to all her holiday parties.

As consumers cut back on big-ticket purchases this year, many fix-it folks are busier than ever. Whyspend money on new shoes, suits or SUVs when it’s so much cheaper to repair the ones you already have? Around the country, cobblers, tailors, car mechanics and bike, vacuum, watch and television repairers are reporting strong revenues during the recession. Jim McFarland, a third-generation shoe repairman, who owns McFarland’s Shoe Repair in Lakeland, has fought many anxiety bouts in his 23 years running the shop. “I’ve spent nights pacing my floor at 2, 3 in the morning, wondering, How am I going to get through this?” says McFarland, who teethed on leather as a baby. “Now I sleep the whole night through,” he says. “I’ve never seen it like this — it’s wonderful.”

McFarland says his year-over-year revenues rose 28% in December and 35% in January. “I’d love to see a 50% jump in February,” he says. As the historian for the Shoe Service Institute of America, the cobbler trade group, McFarland tracks local media stories on shoe-repair performance and talks to hundreds of shop owners throughout the country. He says cobblers are reporting increases in the range of 25% to 40% during the fourth quarter of 2008 and early ’09

In the past, one of the biggest challenges tradespeople faced was a psychological barrier that kept consumers out of the repair shop: I will not stoop so low as to squeeze more life out of these musty shoes or this old dress. That feeling still exists. An Indianapolis publishing executive named Pat, who just took four suit jackets in for restoration, asked that her last name not be printed because “it’s nobody’s business that I’m recycling clothing.” But the economic realities eventually prevail. Pat was looking to extend her wardrobe when she chose between new and used. “Should I buy, or look in the closet and see what I can do with the clothes that are already there?” she says. She picked the closet and is pleased with the results.

The repair trade is delivering positive numbers even to the wrecked automobile industry. Since consumers can’t afford a new car right now, they are holding on to their old ones longer. During December, for example, the average trade-in time for cars was 6.3 years, compared with 5.7 years in 2007. These rides often need repairs to stay alive. “Overall, our members are saying they are seeing a revenue increase,” says Angie Wilson, vice president of marketing and communications for the Automotive Service Association, which represents 8,000 independent car-repair shops in the U.S. According to an association survey, 60% of auto-repair shops said they saw an increase in ’08 year-over-year sales. The average jump was 16%. (The survey was taken in August, before the financial meltdown. Auto-industry economists say repair growth slowed in the fourth quarter as customers deferred big-ticket maintenance jobs during the worst months of the downturn, and that pent-up demand will lift the numbers in ’09.)

Further, even though car dealerships are like ghost towns these days, on-site-service sales rose 2% during the past four months. Paul Taylor, chief economist of the National Automobile Dealers Association, is projecting growth “significantly above 3%” this year. “It’s welcome news,” Taylor says of the repair rise. “It’s important that when consumer expenditures are dead in the water, this sector of the economy is growing.”

While the recession has helped all types of repair professions, cobblers seem to be enjoying their luck more than others. Shoe repair is a dying industry. During the Great Depression, there were some 130,000 shops in the country. Now there are only 7,000. Graying, middle-aged repairers are the Young Turks; there’s a clear shortage of 20- and 30-something cobblers in today’s shops. “We have a chance to reintroduce our industry,” says Randy Lipson, who runs four shoe-repair shops in St. Louis, Mo. The shoes are falling off the shelves in Lipson’s shops; he now has to stuff the overflow work into bins. A year ago, those same shelves were half empty. “I’m getting more customers under 35 than I’ve ever seen,” says Lipson. “They’re spreading the word among people their age about the quality and savings shops like ours can offer, and it’s helping.”

McFarland, the Florida shoe repairman, thinks a two-year downturn would give the industry a “shot in the arm” that could last 10 to 15 years. But even McFarland is quick to temper his excitement. He too realizes that what’s good for the cobbler might be bad for the souls of his countrymen. “The more people we get,” he says, “the worse it is out there.”

The BDI Index Points To Worldwide Disaster

February 14, 2009

By James Wickstrom   Feb 7,2009

The BDI has dropped 94% in a short few weeks which means raw materials, grains, ores, steel, iron, cement and all imported products for food manufacturing and product manufacturing even though we actually do very little of that here in the US. We do make bread and other products that require grains, like cereals. We import clothing, gasoline, various fuels and, well, just about everything these days and the BDI says global shipping has shut down. NOTHING is moving. Because this spells disaster for a country that produces little and imports everything I have been intently blogging about the subject and asking people to view a short video I have posted (8 minutes) on:
The Baltic Dry Index (BDI) is an indicator of how much product is actually out for delivery throughout the world. It cannot be cheated or manipulated because it deals with actual products that are either actively being shipped, or are on docks awaiting to be shipped as Freight On Board (FOB). As the chart below proves, back in June, 2008 the BDI stood at a reasonably healthy 11,600. As of today, the BDI has plummeted to 791. That’s about a 94% drop in goods actually being shipped worldwide.